Atlantico Weekly – August 30th Edition

The August 30th Edition of Atlantico Weekly is ready for you, with: more Chinese doctors for Cape Verde, AfDB invests in Cape Verde tech sector, Sao Vicente Fashion Week,  Angolan president not stepping down, why Angola blocks a customs union, a Spar for Luanda, from dollar to kwanza trading, Statoil betting on Angola, Fugro wins big Angola order, Coal India in Mozambique, Maputo fair under way, Anadarko sell Rovuma stake, a Thai hotel for Bazaruto, Cape Verde Business News, Angola Business News and Mozambique Business News.

Syria and the Limits of Comparison

By Robert D. Kaplan

kaplanBecause so many war plans simply do not survive the reality of war itself, each war is a unique universe unto its own and thus comparisons with previous wars, while useful, may also prove illusory. One of the many wrong assumptions about the Second Gulf War before it started was that it would somehow be like the First Gulf War, in which the pessimists had been humiliated by the ease of the victory. Indeed, the Second Gulf War unfolded in vastly different ways, this time proving the pessimists right. That is why the recent media refrain comparing a military operation in Syria with the one in Kosovo in 1999 worries me.

There are profound differences.

Syria has a population ten times the size of Kosovo’s in 1999. Because everything in Syria is on a much vaster scale, deciding the outcome by military means could be that much harder. Kosovo sustained violence and harsh repression at the hands of Serbian leader Slobodan Milosevic, which was met with a Continue reading “Syria and the Limits of Comparison”

Deon Meyer, South Africa’s thriller writer

By Arnout Nuijt

deonmeyerThe gentleman who had entered the Mozambican hotel elevator on the same floor as I did must have been a good observer. He said, while nodding his head towards the book I was holding: I see you are reading Deon Meyer. Indeed, I replied, it’s my first one and I find it pretty good. We chatted for a few seconds and he advised me to read Blood Safari. It’s set around here, you know, he said, in a slight South African accent and with a meaningful smile before he disappeared. On my way back from Mozambique, at Johannesburg airport, I picked up Deon Meyer’s Blood Safari and Heart of the Hunter. They were other fine reads and yes, Blood Safari’s plot is highly connected to a tragic (and historical) incident on the Mozambique border. Which one is for you to find out.

Deon Meyer writes great thriller/action/crime stories set in post-apartheid South Africa, mainly in Cape Town. His realistic characters are fading police detectives, bodyguards or former hit men, each with his own problem. Matt Joubert and Continue reading “Deon Meyer, South Africa’s thriller writer”

The PC16: Identifying China’s Successors

By George Friedman

postchina16China has become a metaphor. It represents a certain phase of economic development, which is driven by low wages, foreign appetite for investment and a chaotic and disorderly development, magnificent in scale but deeply flawed in many ways. Its magnificence spawned the flaws, and the flaws helped create the magnificence.

The arcs along which nations rise and fall vary in length and slope. China’s has been long, as far as these things go, lasting for more than 30 years. The country will continue to exist and perhaps prosper, but this era of Chinese development — pyramiding on low wages to conquer global markets — is ending simply because there are now other nations with even lower wages and other advantages. China will have to behave differently from the way it does now, and thus other countries are poised to take its place.

Reshaping International Order

Since the Industrial Revolution, there have always been countries where comparative advantage in international trade has been rooted in low wages and a large work force. If these countries can capitalize on their advantages, they can transform themselves dramatically. These transformations, in turn, reorganize global power structures. Karl Kautsky, a German Continue reading “The PC16: Identifying China’s Successors”

Brazil to grow just 1,67% – Brazil Weekly poll

brazilianflagBrazil Weekly readers have spoken. For the last few months we have been running a poll on Brazil’s expected GDP growth in 2013.

By the beginning of 2013 officials and foreign observers still worked with the assumption that Brazil’s economy would grow well again this year, some 3-4%. But soon both Brazil’s government and several other parties started lowering their expectations for month after month. A central bank survey of around 100 economists said in August 9th that Brazil’s gross domestic product will expand just 2.21% this year and 2.50% next year, down from the previous week’s estimates of 2.24% and 2.60% respectively. Today, barely two weeks later, the BCB published newer figures and they have been lowered again: for 2013 they now expect 2.20% GDP growth and for 2014 a mediocre 2.40%.

So what do readers or Brazil Weekly think? More than enough votes have been cast to give a clear picture. Furthermore, while we Continue reading “Brazil to grow just 1,67% – Brazil Weekly poll”

Brazil Weekly – August 23rd Edition

The August 23rd Edition of Brazil Weekly is ready for you with: Judge Barbosa to run for president,  a new Ambassador to the Netherlands,  4000 Cuban doctors hired, Mirages retired, central bank tries to stop real fall, Brazil’s bus industry, VW’s Kombi production halted, airlines face headwinds, Rio fines litter, medical tourism on the rise and of course much more…

Angola Beyond Oil & Gas

Arnout Nuijt, Editor-in-Chief of Atlantico Weekly/Angola Business News and CEO of Atlantico Business Development, a consultancy based in Rotterdam, recently spoke to Mrs Maria Luisa Abrantes, director of ANIP, the Angola Investment Agency.

maria luisa abrantesMrs Abrantes, thank you for talking to Atlantico Weekly’s Angola Business News. You have come to the Netherlands to attract new investors to Angola. So, let’s start with a very simple question: why should Dutch companies invest in your country? Well, at this moment getting investment in general is hard, with all the international economic problems on hand. But investors that look for growth, economic stability and political stability can find all of that in Angola. We have those natural resources that will be needed in the future, including water, which one day may be more important even than oil. Water is a highly important item, that is necessary for all development. Angola for example possesses around 12% of all water resources in Africa. Unfortunately, all these assets end up in our rivers and then head straight to the sea. In the case of the Netherlands we would like to get assistance to use these water resources more efficiently for irrigation to end our farmers’ dependency on rain. In fact, modernisation of our agriculture presents an opportunity for Dutch companies. Then there is tourism. We have a 1500 km coastline, that we’d like to develop with the help of Dutch companies, creating resorts, Continue reading “Angola Beyond Oil & Gas”